Description

This analysis provides a forecast of HBAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.036952 0.041858 0.047303 0.053816 0.061424 0.070067 0.080679
2024-10-13 0.027812 0.033903 0.041284 0.050977 0.063504 0.079327 0.101118
2024-10-20 0.023260 0.029798 0.038214 0.050016 0.066422 0.088846 0.122575
2024-10-27 0.020008 0.026621 0.035541 0.048712 0.068121 0.096419 0.142254
2024-11-03 0.018318 0.025210 0.034901 0.049899 0.073228 0.109381 0.172279
2024-11-10 0.016983 0.024073 0.034416 0.051112 0.078389 0.123109 0.206354
2024-11-17 0.015570 0.022629 0.033256 0.051040 0.081371 0.133650 0.237107
2024-11-24 0.014223 0.021122 0.031797 0.050239 0.082918 0.141846 0.265215
2024-12-01 0.013310 0.020187 0.031114 0.050597 0.086462 0.154163 0.304365
2024-12-08 0.012457 0.019257 0.030327 0.050644 0.089394 0.165757 0.344857
2024-12-15 0.011770 0.018529 0.029790 0.051044 0.093012 0.179313 0.393364
2024-12-22 0.010764 0.017179 0.028057 0.049030 0.091558 0.181959 0.416302
2024-12-29 0.010480 0.017089 0.028609 0.051583 0.100202 0.209253 0.513343
2025-01-05 0.009470 0.015654 0.026628 0.048998 0.097679 0.210834 0.542323
2025-01-12 0.008797 0.014761 0.025553 0.048088 0.098679 0.221086 0.600491
2025-01-19 0.008155 0.013868 0.024389 0.046844 0.098706 0.228924 0.654498
2025-01-26 0.007857 0.013583 0.024355 0.047976 0.104501 0.253234 0.773628
2025-02-02 0.007586 0.013321 0.024336 0.049134 0.110573 0.279945 0.915053
2025-02-09 0.007209 0.012826 0.023803 0.049066 0.113535 0.298526 1.035685
2025-02-16 0.006798 0.012232 0.023011 0.048301 0.114543 0.311527 1.140908
2025-02-23 0.006523 0.011885 0.022703 0.048642 0.118618 0.335399 1.308798
2025-03-02 0.006242 0.011508 0.022295 0.048687 0.121886 0.357638 1.484214
2025-03-09 0.006011 0.011212 0.022035 0.049069 0.126215 0.384939 1.705744